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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 11/20/2023

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pat Connaughton has committed 1.0 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 17th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.

The Bucks check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while at home since the start of last season.

The 5th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Wizards).

This year, opposing clubs have attempted 18.6 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the NBA) against the Wizards, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has attempted just 3.6 threes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 5.3 rate last year.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 7.8 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, their opposition has brought down 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (preserving possessions that can result in added chances for offense).

Pat Connaughton has converted a mere 66.7% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 59.2 rate last season.

Pat Connaughton will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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