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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Points
Player Prop - 11/13/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.

This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has averaged 84.0 field goal attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Chicago Bulls, creating a tough matchup.

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing at home.

Relative to last season's 70.0% clip, Pat Connaughton's free-throw efficiency has risen this season to 100.0%.

Pat Connaughton should see a rise in productivity across the board on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has converted a mere 34.8% of his field goal attempts this year, significantly less than his 42.8 mark last year.

Among all players in the NBA, Pat Connaughton rates in the 76th percentile for technical fouls, registering a monstrous 0.0 fouls per game this year.

The Bulls have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bucks.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Bucks grade out 3rdworst in in the league while at home with only 7.8 offensive boards per game this year.

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls (lengthening possessions that can create extra opportunities for offense).

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