Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 16, 2023

Updated Mar 16, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has converted 3.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.6 more than he's converted from three over the course of the season with the home court advantage.
Pat Connaughton has been on the court for 31.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Pacers is a good one for threes; opposing starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most shots from downtown per game in the league this year (2.1).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest pace in the league while at home this year.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Bucks.

Favors Under

When playing on the road, the Pacers have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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