Pat Connaughton Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 23, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has attempted 8.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Pat Connaughton has played 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 5.8 higher than he's played over the course of the year on the road.
Pat Connaughton has been called for 1.2 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 24th percentile -- among the NBA's least-whistled.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (which also provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Pistons.

Favors Under

Pat Connaughton has successfully made a mere 35.7% of his field goals this season, a sizeable decrease from his 45.6 rate last season.
The Pistons have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Pistons may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted just 26.6 free throws per game over the last 15 games playing at home (3rd-least in the league).
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the lowest scoring offense in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

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