Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/29/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks · Jan 29, 2024

Updated Jan 30, 2024 1:53 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-174).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 47.1% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 10.4% more than he's made from downtown in all games this year.
The Bucks rank as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league this year with respect to three-pointers.
This year, the other team has averaged 11.3 three-pointers per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, resulting in a hard matchup.
The most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.

Favors Under

The Bucks will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Nuggets).
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 10.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can result in more opportunities for offense).
Pat Connaughton ought to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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