Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/17/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets · Dec 17, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-227/+172).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +173 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +172.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 44.4% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 10 games, 11.5% more than he's sunk overall this season.
As it relates to three-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a tough one for three-point shots; their opposition has shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (30.9%).
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
Pat Connaughton figures to see a rise in output in all facets of the game considering controlling the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

The Bucks are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Houston Rockets).
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 4thworst in in the NBA with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are at home, opposing teams have come down with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets (retaining possessions that can spark added chances for offense).

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