Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 20, 2023

Updated Nov 21, 2023 2:12 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has committed 1.0 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 17th percentile -- among the NBA's least foul-prone.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The 5th-most up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the league this year (the Wizards).

Favors Under

Pat Connaughton has attempted just 3.6 threes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 5.3 rate last year.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks rank 2ndworst in in the NBA as the road team with just 7.8 offensive boards per game this year.
This year, their opposition has brought down 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (preserving possessions that can result in added chances for offense).
Pat Connaughton will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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