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Pat Connaughton

Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 11/18/2023

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks

Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bucks have been the 4th-most aggressive offense in the league when playing at home since the start of last season when it comes to three-point attempts.

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have averaged 34.0 three attempts per game (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, marking this as a challenging matchup.

The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).

Pat Connaughton will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pat Connaughton has successfully made 23.6% of his 3-point shots while on the road this year, putting him in the 18th percentile out of all players in the league.

Pat Connaughton has attempted a mere 3.2 three-pointers per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 5.3 rate last year.

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, the other team has secured 11.9 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

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