Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 22, 2023

Updated Apr 22, 2023 11:31 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-102).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has attempted 5.4 shots from downtown per game this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games while playing on the road.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.0) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Heat are at home, opposing clubs have totaled the 2nd-most three-point shots per game in the NBA against them this year (13.6).
The Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Bucks.
Pat Connaughton will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases player performance across the board.

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