Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Made 3 Point Shots

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat · Apr 16, 2023

Updated Apr 16, 2023 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-185/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +165 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has converted 46.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 5 games at home, 11.7% higher than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season while on his home court.
Pat Connaughton has attempted 4.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Pat Connaughton has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the least foul-prone players in the league (18th percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

This matchup is a favorable one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have averaged the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (13.0).
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should reduce possessions for the Bucks.

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