Pat Connaughton Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 17, 2024

Updated Mar 17, 2024 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has compiled 3.4 assists per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 more than he's compiled in all games this season at home.
Pat Connaughton has been on the court for 26.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's been on the court for overall this year.
The Bucks are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 7th-speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Phoenix Suns).
Pat Connaughton will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home tends to increase stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Bucks have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court.
The Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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