Pat Connaughton Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2024

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Milwaukee Bucks · Feb 23, 2024

Updated Feb 24, 2024 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has averaged 3.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing away from home.
Over the last 10 games when they are away from home, the other team has grabbed 8.7 offensive rebounds per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Minnesota Timberwolves (reducing possessions that could otherwise generate further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from facing the 3rd-most sluggish pace offense in the league over the last 25 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pat Connaughton will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

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