Pat Connaughton Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons · Dec 16, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Bucks.
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to increase plays for the Bucks.
Pat Connaughton will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The Bucks have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have snagged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons (preserving possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).

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