Pat Connaughton Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Dallas Mavericks · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 19, 2023 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +145 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has totaled a terrific 2.2 assists per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.3 assists per game last season.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Mavericks).
Pat Connaughton will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium usually raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team has secured 11.9 offensive boards per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks (lengthening possessions that can result in extra chances for offense).

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