Pat Connaughton Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Pat Connaughton

NBA · Player Props

Pat Connaughton

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Philadelphia 76ers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Pat Connaughton Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -161 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -164.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pat Connaughton has averaged 1.2 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (21st percentile).
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pat Connaughton will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The 76ers have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Bucks.
When playing away from home, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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