Pascal Siakam Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 29, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has tallied 5.1 defensive boards per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 91st percentile.
Pascal Siakam has tallied 34.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 3rdbest in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam slots into the 80th percentile for technical fouls, tallying an enormous 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should reduce possessions for the Raptors.
The Celtics have given up the most offensive boards per game (14.2) in the league to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Pascal Siakam figures to suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories considering playing away from home in this game.

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