Pascal Siakam Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 12:22 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has posted 1.9 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 0.4 more than he's posted overall this year at home.
Out of all players in the league, Pascal Siakam measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 32.9 minutes per game this year.
Pascal Siakam has averaged a measly 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 3.2 fouls per game last year.
The 10th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 13thbest in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.6 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

The Raptors will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).
The Phoenix Suns have given up the 6th-most offensive boards per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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