Pascal Siakam Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics · Nov 17, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 12:15 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam registers in the 88th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 33.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
Pascal Siakam has been called for just 2.4 personal fouls per game this season, significantly lower than his 3.2 fouls per game last season.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has secured 10.3 offensive rebounds per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).
Pascal Siakam will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home usually increases player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has averaged just 1.3 offensive rebounds per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 1.9 offensive rebounds per game last year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games away from their home court.
The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Raptors.

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