Pascal Siakam Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 1:39 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has tallied 6.0 defensive rebounds per game while playing away from home since the start of last season, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the best in the NBA by this standard.
Pascal Siakam has been on the court for 36.8 minutes per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, putting him in the 100th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-fastest pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which ought to raise possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 12.7 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game when playing on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace visiting offense in the league this year has been the Raptors.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, their opposition has collected 11.4 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks (maintaining possessions that can result in additional opportunities for offense).
Pascal Siakam will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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