Pascal Siakam Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has posted 7.5 defensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 1.5 higher than he's posted in all games this year.
Pascal Siakam has tallied 37.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to increased plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
At home, the Celtics have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.3) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
Pascal Siakam will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling usually reduces player production for all stats.

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