Pascal Siakam Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 19, 2023

Updated Mar 19, 2023 12:41 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has posted 1.8 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 90th percentile.
Pascal Siakam has played 37.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 100th percentile.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Pascal Siakam will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally reduces player production across the board.

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