Pascal Siakam Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 6, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 10:27 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has compiled 1.8 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 90th percentile.
Pascal Siakam has been on the court for 37.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 100th percentile.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home stadium, which should lead to more opportunities for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
While at home, the Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Pascal Siakam will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production in all facets of the game.

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