Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 1/2/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 2, 2025

Updated Jan 3, 2025 12:09 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ +125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has made 7.5 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam registers in the 90th percentile for three-point ability on the road with a terrific 45.8% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam measures in the 87th percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.1 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
With respect to offense, the Indiana Pacers's remarkable 115.6 points per game ranks 8th-most in the league over the last 10 games.
This year when they are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on three-pointers (highest in the NBA) against the Heat, designating this as a good matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam comes in at the 91st percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.8 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
The Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.7 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup against the Miami Heat may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 1.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (2nd-least in the league).
Pascal Siakam will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.