Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-143/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has converted 7.7 baskets per game this year, ranking in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Pascal Siakam has made 46.5% of his shots from downtown while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile out of all players in the league.
Pascal Siakam has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
In regard to scoring, the Indiana Pacers's remarkable 118.2 points per game rates 6th-best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 15.8 shot attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, labeling this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam lands in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.8 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Pacers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Warriors).
The Indiana Pacers have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Golden State is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 3.1 free throws per game this year when the Warriors are at home (9th-least in the league).
Pascal Siakam will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually reduces player performance in all stat categories.