Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 5/25/2024

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics · May 25, 2024

Updated May 26, 2024 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -139.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has attempted 18.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's attempted overall this year.
Pascal Siakam has sunk 44.4% of his shots from downtown over the last 10 games, 9.7% more than he's made over the course of the year.
Pascal Siakam has tallied 32.3 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Indiana Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
Pascal Siakam will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually boosts player production across the board.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 14.5 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the Celtics, branding this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Pacers have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
The Celtics have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home stadium, which should decrease opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 6.7 clip, Pascal Siakam's number of free throws has regressed this season to 4.7 free throws per game.

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