Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2024

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs New York Knicks · May 12, 2024

Updated May 12, 2024 6:57 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has converted 8.6 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. New York is a positive one for three-pointers; when the New York Knicks are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (47.7%).
The matchup vs. the New York Knicks may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (5th-most in the NBA).
Pascal Siakam stands to see an increase in performance in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.9 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The 6th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Relative to last year's 6.7 clip, Pascal Siakam's number of free throw attempts has diminished this year to 4.9 free throw attempts per game.

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