Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2024

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 30, 2024

Updated May 1, 2024 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ +104 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has made 11.4 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.8 more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
Pascal Siakam has made 43.8% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 10.0% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year while playing away from home.
Pascal Siakam has played 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The matchup vs. the Bucks is a good one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 7th-most three-point shots per game in the league this year (1.8).
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
With respect to drawing fouls, the Indiana Pacers's feeble 18.6 foul shots per game measures as the 6th-worst in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 foul shots per game over the last 25 games (least in the league).
Pascal Siakam will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decrease player production across the board.

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