Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2024

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 28, 2024

Updated Apr 28, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has sunk 11.6 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 2.9 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Pascal Siakam has tallied 32.5 minutes per game while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
When it comes to shooting, the Pacers's exceptional 122.8 points per game settles in as the strongest in the league this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 three-pointers per game (7th-highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, making this a good matchup.
The quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Indiana Pacers.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam slots into the 83rd percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 2.3 fouls per game at home this year.
The Pacers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
The Pacers check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pascal Siakam has sunk just 3.6 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 5.2 mark last year.
Over the last 25 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Bucks, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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