Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 7:52 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 7th-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Heat (turning over possessions that could otherwise produce bonus opportunities for offense).
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have attempted 19.0 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Heat, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The Raptors check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league playing at home this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing teams have averaged 42.0 three attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Miami Heat, resulting in a favorable matchup.
The Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from sharing the court with the slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Heat).

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