Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 2:39 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has sunk 11.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 more than he's made in all games this year.
Pascal Siakam has sunk 50.5% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 24.0% more than he's converted from downtown overall this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goals (25th-best in the NBA) vs. the Kings, making this a good matchup.
The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 6thbest in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
The Kings have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should decrease opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (15th-least in the NBA).
Pascal Siakam will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

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