Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Toronto Raptors · Dec 30, 2023

Updated Dec 30, 2023 11:14 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has made 9.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.5 higher than he's sunk overall this season away from home.
Out of all players in the league, Pascal Siakam slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 34.8 minutes per game this year.
The Raptors are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pistons).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, opposing squads have come down with 9.5 offensive boards per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pistons (shortening possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam measures in the 15th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a an unimpressive 22.2% rate this year.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Toronto Raptors's unimpressive 33.4% rate of drained threes comes in as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup against the Detroit Pistons is a challenging one for three-point attempts; opposing starting PFs have tallied the 14th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.0).
The 8th-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Raptors.
Pascal Siakam will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road generally worsens player performance across the board.