Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has sunk 7.9 field goals per game when playing on the road this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the NBA.
Pascal Siakam has accumulated a lowly 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, quite a bit less than his 3.2 fouls per game last year.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Atlanta Hawks are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most field goals per game in the NBA this year (8.3).
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a rise in possessions today from squaring off against the 3rd-speediest tempo away team in the league this year (the Hawks).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 10thbest in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.9 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 32.0% rate, Pascal Siakam's 3-point efficiency has regressed this season to 20.8%.
When it comes to offense, the Toronto Raptors's feeble 111.4 points per game comes in as the 8th-worst in the NBA this year.
The 2nd-most lethargic tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have nabbed 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the league) against the Atlanta Hawks (lengthening possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).
Pascal Siakam has attempted a lowly 5.4 foul shots per game this season, quite a bit less than his 6.7 mark last season.

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