Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 29, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 12:37 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has averaged a measly 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 3.2 fouls per game last year.
The 10th-quickest pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 13thbest in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.6 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 5.6 free throws per game (30th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.
Pascal Siakam will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to increase stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 24.3 clip, Pascal Siakam's points per game have decreased this season to 19.8.
Pascal Siakam has successfully made just 17.1% of his three-pointers this season, quite a bit lower than his 32.0 rate last season.
When it comes to scoring, the Toronto Raptors's unimpressive 111.4 points per game away from home ranks 9th-weakest in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have tallied 0.8 3-pointers per game (15th-lowest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The Raptors will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).

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