Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 11/21/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 21, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 12:02 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam slots into the 87th percentile for playing time, logging a monstrous 33.3 minutes per game while playing away from home this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 9th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Magic have played at the 5th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to boost possessions for the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing clubs have captured 7.0 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic (minimizing possessions that could otherwise spark additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 18.5 mark, Pascal Siakam's shots have diminished this season to 15.8 per game.
In comparison to last year's 32.0% mark, Pascal Siakam's 3-point proficiency has tailed off this year to 19.8%.
In terms of scoring, the Raptors's unimpressive 109.2 points per game at home places 8th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have shot 28.0% on three-pointers (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Magic, identifying this as a difficult matchup.
Pascal Siakam has attempted a mere 4.1 free throws per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 6.7 rate last season.

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