Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks · Nov 15, 2023

Updated Nov 16, 2023 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 1.4 clip, Pascal Siakam's three-point shots converted have spiked this season to 2.0 per game.
Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam ranks in the 92nd percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 34.8 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled 22.5 points per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Bucks, identifying this as a positive matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors grade out 1stbest in in the league with 13.4 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has successfully made just 7.6 field goals per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 8.9 rate last season.
In regard to shooting, the Toronto Raptors's lackluster 108.2 points per game when playing at home rates 2nd-fewest in the league this year.
The 7th-most lethargic pace team in the league this year has been the Raptors.
This year, their opposition has collected 11.9 offensive boards per game (5th-most in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (preserving possessions that can produce extra chances for offense).
Compared to last year's 6.7 rate, Pascal Siakam's number of foul shot attempts has regressed this year to 4.4 foul shot attempts per game.

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