Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:12 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has sunk 11.0 buckets per game over the last 5 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's put through the net overall this year.
Pascal Siakam has tallied 36.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
The Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
In contrast to last year's 5.6 rate, Pascal Siakam's number of free throws has spiked this year to 6.7 free throws per game.
The matchup vs. Minnesota is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game this year when the Minnesota Timberwolves are the visiting squad (29th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has failed to convert 3.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's missed from three in all games this year without the home court advantage.
The Raptors rank as the 8th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 44.9% on shots from the field (13th-worst in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The 5th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should reduce plays for the Raptors.

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