Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has attempted 18.5 shots from the field per game this year, ranking in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Pascal Siakam has averaged 37.1 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
The matchup against Charlotte is a favorable one for shots from the field; when the Hornets are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 24th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (12.2).
The Hornets have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should increase opportunities for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has failed to convert 2.8 three-pointers per game this year, ranking him among the worst players in the NBA in this category: 75th percentile for misses .
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road.
The matchup against JT Thor is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when squaring off against opposing starting PFs this year, they have made just 1.2 treys per game (10th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
With the home court advantage, the Hornets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).