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Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam Points
Player Prop - 3/28/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pascal Siakam has posted 24.2 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA in this category: 95th percentile.

Pascal Siakam has played 37.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 100th percentile.

The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Pascal Siakam has converted a terrific 5.2 foul shots per game this season, significantly more than his 4.3 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pascal Siakam has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.

The matchup vs. the Heat is a tough one; they have allowed the 8th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 5 games (12.8).

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.

The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Raptors.

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