Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 19, 2023

Updated Mar 19, 2023 12:41 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-108/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has made 10.0 field goals per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 more than he's sunk overall this year.
Pascal Siakam has played 37.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 100th percentile.
The Bucks have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should boost possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Bucks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (7.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has successfully made 21.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, -10.8% lower than he's made from 3-point range overall this year.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court.
The matchup vs. Milwaukee is a challenging one; when the Bucks are playing at home, they have allowed the 13th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs over the last 20 games (11.2).
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Bucks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 1.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (14th-least in the league).