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Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam Points
Player Prop - 3/14/2023

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-128/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -128.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Pascal Siakam has attempted 20.4 shots per game over the last 10 games while at home, 2.1 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Pascal Siakam has tallied 37.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 100th percentile.

The Nuggets have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Raptors.

The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).

The Nuggets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.1) in the league to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Pascal Siakam has sunk 21.1% of his three-point attempts over the last 15 games, -10.8% lower than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.

The Toronto Raptors have been the 8th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 9th-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.3).

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The matchup against Denver is a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Nuggets are away from home (11th-least in the NBA).

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