Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 2, 2023

Updated Mar 2, 2023 11:57 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has made 10.0 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Pascal Siakam has averaged 37.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 100th percentile.
The matchup against the Wizards is a positive one for scoring; opposing starting PFs have averaged the 29th-most shots made from the field per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The Wizards have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased plays for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has successfully made 21.1% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, -10.8% lower than he's sunk overall this year.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing on the road.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
Pascal Siakam will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers stat production for all stats.

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