Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · Feb 26, 2023

Updated Feb 26, 2023 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has successfully made 10.0 baskets per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted in all games this season.
Pascal Siakam has tallied 37.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 100th percentile.
The matchup against the Cavaliers is a good one for 3-pointers; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 28th-most three-pointers per game in the league this year (1.7).
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The Cavaliers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has sunk 21.1% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, -10.8% less than he's sunk overall this season.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games away from home.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games in their home city, which ought to decrease plays for the Raptors.
The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.7 foul shots per game this year (9th-least in the NBA).

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