Pascal Siakam Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Toronto Raptors · Jan 30, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-133/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has attempted 22.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 3.4 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Pascal Siakam has averaged 37.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 100th percentile.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (which also create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Raptors have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Suns.
The matchup vs. the Suns is a good one for scoring; the other team have averaged the 3rd-most baskets per game in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing at home (39.1).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has missed 1.8 free throw attempts per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 1.4 rate last year.
Pascal Siakam has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Suns have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Toronto Raptors have been the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point shots.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

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