Pascal Siakam Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has tallied 36.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 99th percentile.
The matchup against Minnesota is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Minnesota Timberwolves are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have posted the 22nd-highest three percentage in the league this year (35.3%).
The Raptors rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pascal Siakam will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court tends to increases stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has failed to convert 3.3 shots from downtown per game over the last 10 games on the road, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's missed from three in all games this year without the home court advantage.
Pascal Siakam has tallied 3.2 personal fouls per game at home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The 5th-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Raptors.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should reduce plays for the Raptors.

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