Pascal Siakam Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 28, 2023 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-149).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has played 37.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 100th percentile.
The matchup against Miami is a favorable one for attempts from downtown; the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the 22nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 15 games when the Heat are away from home (4.6).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (8.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Pascal Siakam will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has shot and missed 3.4 attempts from beyond the arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's missed from downtown in all games this season.
Pascal Siakam has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
The Heat have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Raptors.