Pascal Siakam Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2024

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 30, 2024

Updated May 1, 2024 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has averaged 4.5 assists per game while playing on the road this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.
Pascal Siakam has played 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The 2nd-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
The Pacers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Indiana Pacers are expected to experience a decrease in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Pascal Siakam will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to decrease player production across the board.

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