Pascal Siakam Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2024

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 21, 2024

Updated Apr 21, 2024 11:02 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-182).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -159 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has tallied 4.5 assists per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
Pascal Siakam has played 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Pascal Siakam has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 higher than he's committed in all games this year.
The Bucks have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
Pascal Siakam is expected to experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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