Pascal Siakam Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 12:45 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-157/+117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +123 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +117.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has posted 5.5 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the best in the NBA by this metric over this stretch of games: 87th percentile.
Pascal Siakam has been on the court for 34.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Raptors rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has brought down 10.2 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to extra opportunities for offense).
Pascal Siakam will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased plays for the Raptors.

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