Pascal Siakam Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 23, 2023 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-164/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -147 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has averaged 5.1 assists per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category.
Pascal Siakam has played 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 87th percentile.
The 5th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
The Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league on the road this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
The Raptors check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team has collected 10.6 offensive boards per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (retaining possessions that can spark more chances for offense).
Pascal Siakam will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production across the board.

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