Pascal Siakam Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2023

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Pascal Siakam

NBA · Player Props

Pascal Siakam

F · Toronto Raptors

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 5, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 7:12 PM EST

Analysis

Pascal Siakam Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Pascal Siakam has compiled 5.8 assists per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 93rd percentile.
Among all players in the league, Pascal Siakam places in the 100th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 36.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage since the start of last season.
The Spurs have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should increase possessions for the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Pascal Siakam rates in the 96th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 3.2 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Raptors have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year.
Since the start of last season when they are at home, opposing squads have come down with 11.2 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Spurs (maintaining possessions that can lead to added opportunities for offense).
Pascal Siakam will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decrease stat production for all stats.

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